On April 2nd, the U.S. president announced a “Liberation Day” of punitive tariffs on most imports into the United States. Financial markets have gyrated, some of the more extreme positions have been walked back but many of the provisions have remained. We’ve taken some time to digest what all this might mean. We outline our thoughts below.
When Leonardo released its latest five-year plan, 2024-2028, the growth objectives were aggressive, with targets across three dimensions: organic growth, efficiency boost and inorganic growth. As part of the overall plan the company stated that its organic growth plan would focus on three components: R&D and technological innovation, digitization of solutions and operations, and new digital services. As of year-end 2025, the company appears to be on a path to exceed its original plan.
This is the time we cycle over our forecasts for the next 10 years, thus our 10-year forecast now covers the years 2025-2034. But first, let’s review last year. As you may recall, we expected 2024 to be a banner year, with units rising almost 8% and values 11%. Unfortunately, what with the aftermath of the Alaska Airlines MAX 9 incident, ongoing regulatory and supplier delays, and labor actions, things didn’t quite pan out as planned. While Boeing was hit by the perfect storm of all of these, every manufacturer was affected one way or another by some of these mitigating factors.
Lockheed Martin is the world’s largest defense contractor. With a strong presence across multiple key aerospace segments, the company is well positioned to compete for critical US and international opportunities. Its expertise in systems integration, space and aircraft also gives it considerable potential to bring together the systems capabilities to which major US prime contractors now aspire. In addition, Lockheed Martin has a long lived and a strong reputation for technological expertise.
Expansion through acquisition and merger has been the focus of management over the past several years. The most recent acquisition of Aerojet Rocketdyne in mid-2023 was preceded by the acquisition of Tactical Data Links in early-2023 and the merger between Harris and L3 in 2019.The increased scale of L3Harris will make it a stronger competitor to defense prime contractors.2025, the company appears to be on a path to exceed its original plan.
The US Federal Aviation Administration has been working to speed up the opening of US airspace for routine operations since at least 2009. Despite this, serious challenges remain, but 2024 saw significant acceleration. FAA’s long-term integration strategy seeks to gradually introduce low-risk, isolated work, then move to full integration of UAS into national airspace.
No longer a novelty, uncrewed aerial systems have become increasingly common sights in skies around the world as more industries find uses for them, governments reshape regulations, and companies deliver increasingly advanced technologies and services. Civil government and commercial drone markets continue growing, moving from nascence to adolescence, as UAS prove their worth in numerous fields. For the moment, though, sales growth in several sectors appears to be moving from new customers to replacement for previous systems.
General Dynamics is a global aerospace and defense company that specializes in high-end design, engineering and manufacturing to deliver state-of-the-art solutions to its customers. The company offers a broad portfolio of products and services in business aviation; ship construction and repair; land combat vehicles, weapons systems and munitions; and technology products and services. Total company revenue was $42.34 billion in 2023, up 7.3% from $39.4 billion in 2022 which was up 2.4% from 2021. Compared to other defense and aerospace companies, General Dynamics had a relatively modest negative impact on its financial performance due to the global pandemic.
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