The Department of Defense released its latest round of selected acquisition reports and tucked away in their review of the biggest program in DoD history was an interesting footnote that said the F-35 is now expected to operate in US service until the year 2088. That’s 11 years later than previously expected.
The two aerospace giants enter the post-pandemic era in very different positions. Both companies encountered sharp financial impacts from the unprecedented drop in commercial air transportation demand and the resulting decline in aircraft deliveries and new orders. It will take time for the industry to rebound and these two companies will enter the revived marketplace in different ways.
Airbus
Airbus is in an exceptionally strong position and it is embracing its position as a commercial airliner manufacturer. While the COVID pandemic has tempered its generally sustained advance, the company’s fundamentals align well with long-term market requirements.
The biennial Farnborough and Paris air shows are usually the cue civil aircraft manufacturers use to issue their prognostications about the future of the commercial aviation business. And right on cue, Airbus, Boeing, Embraer, and ATR all issued their own takes on what was going to happen in the future.
BAE Systems plc (BAE), Europe’s largest defense contractor and the world's seventh-largest is well positioned to take advantage of increased defense spending by its major customer countries. Early concerns about potential Brexit-related impacts have lessened. Immediately followed the UK’s decision to leave the European Union, there was significant speculation about the potential fallout that might occur as established relationships between BAE and its European continent partners tried to work through the changing trade environment.
Raytheon Technologies was created in April 2020 by the merger of Raytheon Co. and United Technologies. The global COVID pandemic and its effects, including reduced commercial aircraft demand, supply chain disruptions and cost pressures, have limited an early assessment of how the merger is meeting management’s originally stated objectives.
It now looks like the Russians will continue to participate in the International Space Station (ISS) past 2024. As you may recall, on July 21 it was reported that Yuri Borisov, the director of Russia’s national space agency (Rosaviacosmos), said that Russia would pull out of the ISS in 2024. This caused a minor stir in the West because the station depends on the Zvezda Service Module for a lot of important stuff, including living quarters, life support systems, electrical power distribution, data processing systems, flight control systems and propulsion systems.
A lot of attention has understandably accrued to the US Department of Defense’s FY 2023 request for 61 F-35s, 33 (15 As, 5 Bs, and 13 Cs) below the number previously projected for that year. Let’s talk about that just a little bit. First, the Department of Defense has been accused of using the F-35 program as a source for funding other priorities. There’s some reason to believe that’s true. But we don’t believe that’s what’s at work here.
Recent actions by Rolls-Royce suggest that it is moving forward in its effort to materially reposition the company and return it to long-term profitability. Several factors had drastically impacted demand for Rolls-Royce products and services, causing a substantial decline in company revenues.
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