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19 September 2024

Russian Loitering Munitions Market

Author: Steven J. Zaloga, Drawn From: World Missiles & UAV Briefing

Both Russia and Ukraine have been making extensive use of loitering munitions during the current war. Russia has made extensive use of FPV (First Person View) loitering munitions since 2023. These are generally based on small, cheap commercial racing drones fitted with a small warhead. Russia began using FPV kamikaze drones in small numbers in July 2022. Use of these drones ramped up in response to Ukrainian attacks with 125 sorties in July 2023, 247 in August, 553 in September, 474 in October and 625 in November 2023.

30 July 2024

UAV/Drone SIGINT & ECM Systems Market

Author: Dr. David L. Rockwell, Drawn From: Military Electronics Briefing

Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) has become not only a primary focus of electronic warfare (EW) over the past decade or two, but it now garners genuine “A-list” funding for UAVs as well as manned airborne platforms. SIGINT had a relatively low profile among manned EW programs in the Cold War, while jammers and radar and missile warning systems received most of the attention and funding. But that changed with the conflicts in Afghanistan and Iraq, and the threat continues today from non-state actors worldwide – new geographies of conflict resulted in changing needs.

01 July 2024

UAV/Drone Electro-Optical/Infrared (EO/IR) Sensor Market

Author: Dr. David L. Rockwell, Drawn From: Military Electronics Briefing

Electro-Optical/Infrared (EO/IR) sensors are still the default sensor for most UAVs (Unmanned Aerial Vehicles). UAV EO/IR system funding increased rapidly in the decade after 9/11 (2001). But the financial crisis of 2008, proposed budget cuts, and sequestration resulted in several years of up-and-down funding, and considerable uncertainty. A decade later, a comprehensive new generation of EO/IR sensors was funded in DoD budgets and by 2020 production of these new sensors was well underway. Though unheralded in the media (upgrades rarely grab headlines), the bulk of the US endurance UAV fleet has now recently received all-new sensors, worth billions of dollars to both prime contractors and subs.

17 April 2024

China has greatly expanded its UAV efforts over the past decade and is now offering a broad range of UAVs in the export market

Author: Steven J. Zaloga, Drawn From: 2023/2024 World Military Unmanned Aerial Systems Market Profile & Forecast

China has had an active UAV program since the mid-1970s. However, data on the actual extent of UAV production is nearly non-existent, and there is no information on the procurement objectives of the People’s Liberation Army or Air Force. A report from Taiwan estimated that about 280 UAVs were in service in mid-2011. Given the extremely active development programs in recent years, the current inventory is presumably much higher. Chinese tactical UAVs have been used in traditional roles such as artillery spotting, and some are deployed in army divisions in "Instrument Reconnaissance Companies" of the usual divisional reconnaissance battalions. Another application has been for route security for the mobile IRBM launchers of the PLA Second Artillery strategic missile force.

17 September 2024

Ukranian Loitering Munitions Market

Author: Steven J. Zaloga, Drawn From: World Missiles & UAV Briefing

The current war in Ukraine involves the most extensive use of drones to date, and the first widespread use of loitering munitions. The most widespread of these is the use of small, cheap FPV (First Person View) drones. FPV drones are an adaptation of commercial drones used for the sport of drone racing. They use a simplified optical sensor that has little or no traverse, keeping the price to a minimum. The FPVs have become so common that the Ukrainians have been using them to attack individual Russian soldiers as well as more substantial targets such as tanks.

16 July 2024

UAV/Drone Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) Market

Author: Dr. David L. Rockwell, Drawn From: Military Electronics Briefing

UAV SAR funding more than quadrupled over the decade from 2005-2015. Before that, the only major program was RDT&E funding for the large MP-RTIP (Multi-Platform Radar Technology Insertion Program) radar for the Block 40 Global Hawk. Then, not only did US Air Force MP-RTIP production end prematurely with a truncated eleven-radar procurement, but the Air Force planned to “divest” the entire Block 40 Global Hawk fleet. Most thought this was as unlikely to happen as the USAF threat to mothball the Block 30 fleet.

16 May 2024

Market forces work to trim civil aircraft production and push out deliveries

Author: Bruce McClelland, Drawn From: World Military & Civil Aircraft Briefing

Over the past month we have been making tweaks to our forecast which reflect some of the developments we’ve been seeing over the past few months. A lot of ink has been spilled over the Alaska Air door plug blow-out which we don’t need to re-hash here. But the aftermath is continuing to have consequences that reverberate through the industry that only with the passage of time are becoming clearer. As it became glaringly obvious that traveled work was a quality problem, Boeing has slowed down 737 MAX production in order to make sure fuselages arriving from Wichita didn’t need to be re-worked. As a result, we have again cut our 737 MAX delivery forecast for 2024 by 40 aircraft, the decline coming entirely from production deliveries. 

19 March 2024

MQ-25 Stingray (CBARS)

Author: Steven J. Zaloga, Drawn From: 2023/2024 World Military Unmanned Aerial Systems Market Profile & Forecast

Details released with the FY23 budget request indicate that the MQ-25 will be quite expensive, costing around $125 million each by the end of the decade once serial production ramps up. This is roughly in the same league as the land-based MQ-4 Triton maritime surveillance drone. The Navy seems willing to accept this price since in many respects the MQ-25 is viewed as the forerunner to future naval remotely piloted aircraft.

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