Is the U.S. Ready for a Cut-Rate Jet Fighter?

Experts on military aircraft are divided on the Scorpion’s prospects. The 2,000-aircraft estimate “is ambitious but reasonable,” says Kristin White, a senior associate at Avascent, a defense-industry consulting firm. “The competition is going to be tough, but [air forces] will have to take a look” because of the price and capabilities. Others see limited demand for such a plane and say the market is already well served. “I just don’t get it,” says Richard Aboulafia, a vice president at Teal Group, an aerospace consultancy. He reckons demand for the Scorpion’s niche is fewer than 20 planes a year.