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Richard L. Aboulafia

IN THE MEDIA

Richard is Senior Advisor Emeritus at Teal Group. Since 1988, Richard has tracked aircraft programs, markets, and companies as an analyst and consultant. He has managed many Teal Group consulting projects in the commercial and military aviation field and analyzes broader defense and aerospace market and industry trends.  Full Bio >

20
August
2014

Bombardier Seen Delaying CSeries Again as Tests Continue

Bombardier Seen Delaying CSeries Again as Tests Continue

"They're being borderline delusional if they think they're going to meet the 2015 target," Richard Aboulafia, an aerospace consultant with Fairfax, Virginia-based Teal Group, said in a telephone interview. "That's not going to happen. If it's the first half of 2016, I will call that a strategic victory." Aboulafia has more than 20 years of experience in the aerospace industry and writes reports providing forecasts of aircraft markets.

MEDIA OUTLET: The Montreal Gazette TAGS: Bombardier | CSeries

20
August
2014

Boeing, Ryanair to Make 'Significant Announcement' Monday

Aerospace consultant Richard Aboulafia, with the Teal Group, told Bloomberg that the pending deal "is a good endorsement" that the Boeing 737 redesign effort is "poised to achieve some kind of cost advantage."

MEDIA OUTLET: St. Louis Business Journal TAGS: 737 | Boeing | Ryanair

20
August
2014

Bombardier CSeries tests resume, with hopes they will spark new orders

Bombardier CSeries tests resume, with hopes they will spark new orders

But Richard Aboulafia of aviation consultancy Teal Group in Farifax. Va., and a longtime critic of the CSeries program, was blunt and severe. "Oh right, hooray! You fire everyone associated with the program, you have this unpleasant looking accident followed by a long unexplained silence (from Bombardier after May 29) and a nasty company re-organization. But hey, you're flying again. I mean, what the hell?" Aboulafia said "at this point, you can't rule out a total program failure."

MEDIA OUTLET: The Montreal Gazette TAGS: Bombardier | CSeries

20
August
2014

GE Aviation Plans 2nd Ceramics Plant

Engine makers are accelerating production efforts amid a rise in aircraft purchasing by carriers seeking more efficient models. At a time when fuel represents the largest share of airline operating costs, improvements in under-wing technology have helped jets operate more economically, said Richard Aboulafia, an analyst at Fairfax, Virginia-based Teal Group. "It becomes essential to replace older, less-efficient jets with newer ones. They pay for themselves," he said."Every decade we get about 10 or 12 percent better. The meaning of that double-digit improvement is so much greater because of the high cost of fuel."

MEDIA OUTLET: The Montreal Gazette TAGS: GE Aviation | General Electric

19
August
2014

Boeing May Boost Production of Its Bestselling 737

Boeing May Boost Production of Its Bestselling 737

 That pressures Boeing to cut the wait for its new 737s, which can stretch to years for some airlines, says Teal Group analyst Richard Aboulafia.

The real problem is long-term," Aboulafia says, noting the record-high output for single-aisle airplanes over several years, with no slowdown until both the A320neo and MAX are in production. "Then you'll have Airbus try to exploit a first-mover advantage and Boeing working hard to ramp up faster and catch up. This all sounds like a recipe for overcapacity by the end of the decade."

MEDIA OUTLET: ABC News TAGS: 737 | Boeing

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