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Richard L. Aboulafia

IN THE MEDIA

Richard is Senior Advisor Emeritus at Teal Group. Since 1988, Richard has tracked aircraft programs, markets, and companies as an analyst and consultant. He has managed many Teal Group consulting projects in the commercial and military aviation field and analyzes broader defense and aerospace market and industry trends.  Full Bio >

02
October
2014

Why Boeing Had to Boost 737 Production -- Its MAX Trails Airbus

Why Boeing Had to Boost 737 Production -- Its MAX Trails Airbus

"Boeing is at a disadvantage in terms of next generation narrow body timing because Airbus is doing a great job with the A320neo," said Richard Aboulafia, aerospace consultant for Teal Group.

First delivery of the A320neo is scheduled for the fourth quarter of 2015 to Qatar, while first delivery of the 737MAX is scheduled for the third quarter of 2017 to Southwest (LUV) .

"Airbus is going to get there the better part of two years earlier than Boeing," Aboulafia said. "The best thing Boeing can do is to catch up with them as soon as possible. In this high-fuel-cost environment, it's a game of availability; it's all about timing."

MEDIA OUTLET: The Street TAGS: A320neo | Airbus | Boeing

02
October
2014

Military Firms Likely to Benefit from Airstrikes in Iraq, Syria

Military Firms Likely to Benefit from Airstrikes in Iraq, Syria

To replace those munitions, experts say, officials are likely to turn to Boeing Co. for a tail kit that converts an unguided free-fall bomb into a "smart" bomb through installation of a GPS-guided tail section.

The company has sold nearly 262,000 such kits, at $25,000 each, including thousands to Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Bahrain.

"These coalition partners have already bought quite a bit of weapons from American weapons makers," said Richard Aboulafia, an aerospace analyst with Teal Group Corp., a Virginia research firm. "After a campaign like this, they're likely to buy more."

MEDIA OUTLET: Los Angeles Times TAGS: Iraq | Munitions | Syria

01
October
2014

America’s Advanced Stealth Jet Flies on 1990s Tech

The Air Force is making upgrades to the F-22 by adding better processors and newer fiber-optic data-buses, but the technology remains hopelessly obsolete compared to current-day consumer devices. Part of the reason for that is it is more difficult to predict how emerging technologies will develop. "Figuring out which technologies pay their way on a commercial product is generally easier than figuring out which technologies offer the best bang for the buck on a military one," said analyst Richard Aboulafia at the Virginia-based Teal Group.

MEDIA OUTLET: The Daily Beast TAGS: Air Force | F-22 | Raptor | Stealth

26
September
2014

Cost of Bombing ISIL Cheap Compared With Afghan War

Cost of Bombing ISIL Cheap Compared With Afghan War

The major driver of cost is flight time for warplanes and steaming time for ships — not missiles or bombs, said Richard Aboulafia, a military aviation analyst with the Teal Group. A warplane can cost at least $10,000 per hour to fly. "What clobbered us over the past decade wasn't procurement (of weapons)," Aboulafia said. "It was operations and maintenance."

MEDIA OUTLET: USA Today TAGS: Aircraft | Bombing | Operations & Maintenace | Syria

23
September
2014

Will USMC Pursue Engine Upgrade for V-22?

Will USMC Pursue Engine Upgrade for V-22?

Analyst Richard Aboulafia of the Teal Group interpreted the Marine Corps' comment as putting pressure on Rolls. "When you're in a sole-source situation and you're not happy with the price of spares and durability of spares, the best way to put pressure on the contractor is to imply that there could be competition in the future," Aboulafia said. "If [Rolls] could somehow combine lower cost with higher performance, that might be something [the Marine Corps] would really want, but on the other hand, it's not clear that's what's going on here."

MEDIA OUTLET: Defense News TAGS: Marine Corps | Rolls-Royce | V-22

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