Teal Group In The Media

Our analysts are sought out by the business community and by the media for their independent insights and forecasts.

04
January
2015

Pittsburgh's Astrobotic Shooting for the Moon

Featuring: Marco A. Caceres

Pittsburgh's Astrobotic Shooting for the Moon

The fact that successful companies like Celestis are signing on with Astrobotic is encouraging to Marco Caceres, senior space analyst and director of space studies at Teal Group, an aerospace and defense industry analysis company:

From what he knows about Astrobotic, "it looks like this company will be one of the pioneers in space. And initially, that will probably be one of the advantages" like it has been for Celestis, he said. "If it works and if you're the first private company to get up there, that's huge."

He also likes that Astrobotic, has learned "like SpaceX, that, in order to minimize risk, take NASA on as a client."

Media Outlet: The Miami Herald Tags Astrobotic | Carnegie Mellon University | Moon

18
December
2014

Pentagon Spreads Out F-35 Production, Repair Work to Get Orders

Featuring: Richard L. Aboulafia

Pentagon Spreads Out F-35 Production, Repair Work to Get Orders

"It's as much an industrial policy as a fighter," said Richard Aboulafia, vice president at Teal Group, an aerospace consultancy.

Media Outlet: The Wall Street Journal Tags F-35 | Joint Strike Fighter | Lockheed Martin

17
December
2014

How ISIS and Boko Haram Could Change the Way Countries Purchase Air Power

Featuring: Richard L. Aboulafia

How ISIS and Boko Haram Could Change the Way Countries Purchase Air Power

Not everyone agrees. "It's just sort of a baffling product," says Richard Aboulafia, vice president for analysis at Teal Group, and aerospace and defense consultancy based in Fairfax, Va. "It's the perfect solution to a problem that doesn't exist."

Aboulafia says less-expensive turboprop aircraft have proven themselves more than capable of conducting ISR and striking ground targets. The Scorpion's relatively low, subsonic speed and lack of sophisticated radar put it a class below the lowest-end fighter jets capable of air-to-air intercept and combat, he adds. "I'm not sure where the demand would come from," he says.

Media Outlet: Fortune Tags Scorpion | Textron

16
December
2014

Inside the New Stealth Arsenal

Featuring: Philip Finnegan

Inside the New Stealth Arsenal

As military strategists look ahead, the days of asymmetric warfare and the uncontested airspace that comes with it seem to be drawing to a close. "There are no active area defenses run by insurgents in Afghanistan and Iraq or, for that matter, Syria," says defense analyst Phil Finnegan, of the Fairfax, Virginia–based Teal Group. "But the next generation of UAVs will have to confront potential threats like China. They'll need to be much more capable—faster, with greater autonomy in case communication links are disrupted, and stealthier so they are more difficult for an adversary to detect."

Media Outlet: Popular Science Tags Drones | UAVs

14
December
2014

China-US Space Relations See Small but Important Step

Featuring: Marco A. Caceres

China-US Space Relations See Small but Important Step

Marco Caceres, a space analyst with the Teal Group, called the CSM change a "win-win" for both sides.

"Every time you cooperate, every time you fulfill or submit a request, that is how you build relationships," Caceres said. "Particularly if the US is coming to see China as their next military rival in space, and they are doing an awful lot and spending a lot more money on both military and non-military space, potentially [this new agreement] could be significant because it strengthens the relationship."

Media Outlet: Defense News Tags China | Situational Awareness | Space Debris

09
December
2014

Russia, Orbital Sciences, and the American Rocket Problem

Featuring: Marco A. Caceres

Russia, Orbital Sciences, and the American Rocket Problem

"I don't see how Orbital, given all the negative publicity around Russian engines, could go with another Russian engine," says Marco Caceres, space industry analyst for aerospace and defense consultancy Teal Group. "How could the CEO explain another accident to shareholders? I think you have to go with a red, white, and blue company."

But finding that company could prove daunting. Aerojet Rocketdyne's existing production line produces powerful engines for the Delta IV and NASA's new super-heavy-lifting Space Launch System—likely too much engine for Orbital's medium-sized Antares rocket, Caceres says. 

Media Outlet: Fortune Tags Antares | NASA | Orbital Sciences | Russian engines

05
December
2014

NASA Launches Orion Capsule in First Test for Mars Mission

Featuring: Marco A. Caceres

NASA Launches Orion Capsule in First Test for Mars Mission

The agency doesn't yet have a rocket powerful enough to blast it into space that is also deemed safe enough to transport people. "It's kind of like sitting in a beautiful Cadillac, without an engine or tires," said Marco Caceres, director of space studies for Teal Group, a Fairfax, Virginia-based consultant.

Media Outlet: Bloomberg Tags Mars | NASA | Orion | SLS

04
December
2014

First Boeing Air Force Tanker 'On the Flight Line' Despite Earlier Wiring Problems

Featuring: Richard L. Aboulafia

First Boeing Air Force Tanker 'On the Flight Line' Despite Earlier Wiring Problems

Teal Group analyst Richard Aboulafia said he thinks that's doable despite the delays, given that the 1980s-era 767 is such a well-proven machine.

"There's no reason why they can't get through those problems," he said. "They have the domain knowledge of the jet and the technology."

Media Outlet: Puget Sound Business Journal Tags 767 | Boeing | KC-46

02
December
2014

GoPro Inc's Consumer Drones Could Help Its Stock Take Off

Featuring: Philip Finnegan

GoPro Inc's Consumer Drones Could Help Its Stock Take Off

Research firm Teal Group estimates that global annual spending on drones will nearly double from $6.4 billion to $11.5 billion over the next 10 years. Teal's study shows that military drones currently account for 89% of the market, while civil drones account for the remaining 11%. Yet that split is expected to be 86% military versus 14% civil over the next decade.

Media Outlet: Nasdaq Tags Drones | UAVs

02
December
2014

NASA Prepares to Test the Spaceship That Could Take Us to Mars

Featuring: Marco A. Caceres

NASA Prepares to Test the Spaceship That Could Take Us to Mars

The cost of the SLS and Orion could grow to more than $30 billion, said Marco Caceres, a senior space analyst with the Teal Group consulting firm. There is a fair amount of opposition to the asteroid mission in Congress, and a Mars landing, some 20 years away at best, remains a dream.

"To make matters worse," Caceres wrote in a recent blog, "is the painful fact that the rocket doesn't actually have a mission."

The Mars program is subject to funding constraints and a balky political system.

"This is the problem with anything that takes 20 years — people have very short attention spans," Caceres said. "And you have numerous presidential administrations and Congresses, and inevitably someone gets around to canceling it, or reducing it."

Media Outlet: The Washington Post Tags Mars | NASA | Orion | SLS

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